Is 2025 the Year We Normalize 1.5°C of Warming? Earth Just Hit 'Climate Emergency Mode'

2025年，我们是不是已经习惯了升温1.5℃的事实？地球已进入'气候紧急状态'

www.euronews.com

So 2025 is currently tied with 2023 as the second hottest year on record, just behind the monster that is 2024 — the first year to cross the 1.5°C threshold. We’re not just flirting with climate disaster; we’re now living in its awkward afterparty.

所以目前2025年和2023年并列有记录以来第二热年份，仅次于那个破纪录的2024年——首个突破1.5°C门槛的年份。我们不是在玩火，而是在气候灾难后的尴尬余温中生活。

November 2025 was the third-warmest ever, thanks to freak heat in the Arctic and northern Canada. And let’s not forget the tropical cyclones in Southeast Asia that wiped out entire villages. This isn’t just ‘bad weather’ — it’s what climate models predicted decades ago, finally showing up uninvited at our doorstep.

2025年11月是有记录以来第三热的11月，这要‘归功于’北极和加拿大北部的异常高温。更别提在东南亚造成村庄消失的热带气旋了。这已不是‘天气不好’，而是几十年前气候模型预测的景象，如今不请自来地出现在我们家门口。

Policy Wonk at UN Office (联合国办公室政策书呆子)

People keep acting like 1.5°C is some distant red line. It’s not. We’ve already crossed it. The real question is whether we have the political will to prevent 2.0°C. Spoiler: current emissions trajectories say no.

人们总以为1.5℃是条遥远的红线，其实早就跨过去了。真正的问题是，我们有没有政治决心阻止升温2.0℃。剧透一下：按当前的排放轨迹，答案是否定的。

Retired Meteorologist from Alaska (阿拉斯加退休气象学家)

I’ve watched the Arctic melt for 40 years. What we’re seeing now wasn’t supposed to happen until 2070. The models were conservative. Nature doesn’t care.

我目睹北极融化已有40年。如今发生的一切，原本不该出现在2070年之前。模型太保守了，而自然根本不理会人类的预测。

DevOps Engineer who Hates Winter (讨厌冬天的运维工程师)

Honestly? I kind of like warmer winters. Fewer snow days = more productivity. Call me selfish, but my heating bill thanks me every month.

说实话？我其实挺喜欢暖冬的。下雪天少了=效率更高。说我自私吧，但我的暖气账单每个月都在感谢我。

Skeptical Grad Student in Economics (经济学理性质疑型研究生)

Hold up. If 2024 crossed 1.5°C, why are we still using 1850-1900 as baseline? Isn’t that cherry-picking the most convenient past? Also, anomalies are relative—shouldn’t we normalize against recent decades?

等等。如果2024年已突破1.5℃，我们为何仍用1850–1900年作为基准？这难道不是专挑最方便的过去时段吗？而且异常值都是相对的，我们不该用近几十年当新基准吗？

Climate Data Nerd PhD (气候数据极客博士)

Baseline isn’t arbitrary. 1850–1900 is pre-industrial — that’s when fossil fuel use was negligible. You normalize against a stable climate, not one already altered. That’s like measuring a fever from yesterday’s cold.

基准不是随便定的。1850–1900年是工业化前，那时化石燃料使用几乎可忽略。你得用气候稳定期当基准，而非已被改变的时期。这就像是用昨天的感冒来测今天是否发烧。

Retired Meteorologist from Alaska (阿拉斯加退休气象学家)

Exactly. And even if models were ‘conservative,’ the trend is unmistakable. When permafrost starts releasing methane, there’s no remote for this apocalypse.

没错。即使模型‘保守’，趋势也已不可逆转。当永久冻土开始释放甲烷时，这场末日就没有遥控器可以暂停了。

Beach Lover from Miami (迈阿密海滩爱好者)

I love beaches. But my favorite one? Gone. Washed away by last summer’s storm surge. So yeah, ‘warmer winters’ sound nice until your city’s underwater.

我爱海滩。但我最爱的那个？没了。去年夏天的风暴潮直接把它卷走了。所以啊，‘暖冬’听起来不错，直到你的城市被淹。这是无法忽视的事实。

DevOps Engineer who Hates Winter (讨厌冬天的运维工程师)

Okay, that hit hard. I didn’t think about the coastal towns. Still, my thermostat’s happy. But maybe we all need to stop optimizing for comfort and start adapting for survival.

好吧，这话让我心头一震。我确实没想过沿海城镇的问题。不过我的恒温器还是很开心。但也许我们都该停止追求舒适，转而为生存做准备了。

Is 2025 the Year We Normalize 1.5°C of Warming? Earth Just Hit 'Climate Emergency Mode'

2025年，我们是不是已经习惯了升温1.5℃的事实？地球已进入'气候紧急状态'

1.5°C已成过去？2025年10月再度刷新高温纪录——我们正经历人类历史上最热的十年吗？

化石燃料将在2030年前达峰？国际能源署新报告一手引发愤怒，一手点燃希望