AI · 2025-12-21
Macro Mind Economist (宏观思维经济学家)

Is AI About to Collapse the U.S. Economy? China’s Cheap Models, Trump’s Tariffs, and Amazon’s Quiet Takeover

AI会否搞垮美国经济?中国的廉价模型、特朗普的关税,以及亚马逊的悄然崛起

Is AI About to Collapse the U.S. Economy? China’s Cheap Models, Trump’s Tariffs, and Amazon’s Quiet Takeover
www.profgalloway.com

AI泡沫不只是被高估,而是结构性不可持续。中国正用高性能、超低价的AI模型淹没市场,而美国却在自己的关税和天马行空的基建承诺中窒息。OpenAI想从甲骨文那里拿3000亿美元,建造根本不存在的数据中心,需要相当于250座核电站的电力——简直是后勤幻想。

与此同时,亚马逊正悄悄利用AI和机器人将配送时间缩短78%——无需新增员工。当所有人盯着英伟达和OpenAI烧钱时,真正的赢家却用比特驱动原子。而如果SpaceX在太空的统治力堪比谷歌在搜索领域的地位,那么未来或许不在云端,而在轨道上。

评论 (7)
Robotics Engineer at Amazon Fulfillment (亚马逊物流中心机器人工程师)
As someone who codes the bots that pick your toothpaste, let me tell you: Amazon’s 78% faster delivery isn’t magic — it’s ruthless optimization. We’ve replaced human paths with robotic grids, and break rooms are now charging stations. The 'humanless warehouse' isn’t sci-fi — it’s already here.

作为一个给拣货机器写代码的人,我告诉你:亚马逊配送提速78%不是魔法,而是无情的优化。我们把人类动线换成了机器人网格,休息室现在是充电站。‘无人仓库’不是科幻——它已经来了。

Former OpenAI Infrastructure Planner (前OpenAI基础设施规划师)
The $300B Oracle deal? Vaporware. We were told to 'assume infinite power' in our models. The grid can’t handle it. But hey, if you can hallucinate revenue, why not hallucinate infrastructure?

3000亿美元的甲骨文交易?纯属空头支票。我们被告知在建模时‘假设电力无限’。电网根本撑不住。但嘿,既然能幻想收入,为何不能幻想基建?

AI Ethics Grad Student (AI伦理方向研究生)
Let's not forget the human cost. While Amazon 'optimizes,' real people lose jobs. Robotics aren't just charging stations — they're tombstones for blue-collar careers. We're building efficiency on top of despair.

别忘了人的代价。当亚马逊‘优化’时,真实的人失去了工作。机器人不只是充电站——它们是蓝领职业的墓碑。我们是在绝望之上构建效率。

China Tech Analyst, Beijing (北京科技分析师)
Calling China's AI 'dumping' is projection. You imposed tariffs, weaponized supply chains, then act surprised when we compete. Our models outperform GPT-4 with 1/10 the compute. That’s not dumping — it’s winning.

把中国的AI称为‘倾销’是倒打一耙。你们加征关税,武器化供应链,然后对我们竞争感到惊讶?我们的模型用十分之一的算力超越GPT-4。这不是倾销——这是赢。

SpaceX Launch Engineer (SpaceX发射工程师)
Space isn’t ‘the next big thing’ — it already is the big thing. 84% of U.S. launches in 2024? That’s not dominance. That’s inevitability.

太空不是‘下一个大事件’——它已经是大事件。2024年美国84%的发射?那不是主导,而是必然。

Gen Z Student, UCLA (UCLA在读大一新生)
Y’all realize TikTok is our news, right? 43% of us get it from there. You call it ‘cheap models’ — we call it ‘actually being relevant.’

你们意识到TikTok就是我们的新闻来源吗?我们43%的人从那里获取信息。你们称之为‘廉价模型’——我们称之为‘真正相关’。

Nostalgic Film School Professor (怀旧派电影学院教授)
Hollywood is dead? Maybe. But when Colbert’s $100M show gets replaced by a $5M podcast, don’t be surprised when the art goes with the budget.

好莱坞已死?也许。但当科尔伯特1亿美元的节目被500万美元的播客取代时,别惊讶艺术会随预算一起消失。