Autos · 2025-11-15
Long-Time Tech Bull (长期科技多头投资者)

Is Tesla Still a 'Moonshot' or Just Elon’s Soap Opera? 18% Margins & $3,500 Price Target Explained

特斯拉还是“登月计划”吗?还是只是马斯克的肥皂剧?18%毛利率和3500美元股价目标全解析

Is Tesla Still a 'Moonshot' or Just Elon’s Soap Opera? 18% Margins & $3,500 Price Target Explained
seekingalpha.com

特斯拉刚刚公布了创纪录的销量和18%的毛利率——而整个电动车行业却在挣扎。仔细想想。这可不是你祖母时代的汽车公司。

随着FSD、AI机器人和能源业务不断扩大,特斯拉卖的早已不只是汽车。它在售卖一个未来。而这个未来的票价是3500美元——前提是你能忍受20%的回调波动。

评论 (7)
Value Investor Dad (价值投资老父亲)
18% margin is impressive, sure, but at 100x earnings? That’s not a stock, it’s a cult. I’ll wait for the crash.

18%毛利率确实惊人,但市盈率100倍?这哪是股票,分明是宗教。我等着它崩盘再说。

Optimistic Robotics Engineer (乐观的机器人工程师)
If you think Tesla is just a car company, you're missing the point. Optimus alone could be worth more than GM by 2030.

如果你还觉得特斯拉只是汽车公司,那你完全没看懂。光是Optimus人形机器人,2030年就可能比通用汽车还值钱。

Market Realist (市场现实主义者)
Margins are great until the competition figures out software and AI. VW and BYD aren’t sleeping.

毛利率再高,也架不住竞争对手搞懂软件和AI。大众和比亚迪可没在睡觉。

Cynical Hedge Fund Intern ( cynical的对冲基金实习生)
Another day, another 'long-term vision' article while the shorts bleed. This stock runs on hype and margin calls.

又一天,又一篇‘长期愿景’分析文,空头们却在流血。这只股票靠的是炒作和强制平仓在撑着。

TSLA Maximalist (特斯拉狂热信徒)
The people doubting Tesla are the same ones who said the iPhone was just a toy. Innovation isn't consensus-driven.

怀疑特斯拉的人,和当年说iPhone只是个玩具的是同一拨人。创新从来不是靠共识推动的。

Retired Auto Executive (退休汽车行业高管)
I’ve worked in legacy automakers for 30 years. Tesla’s software edge is real, but 20% pullbacks will scare off normal investors. It’s not for everyone.

我在传统车企干了30年。特斯拉的软件优势是真实的,但20%的回调会吓跑普通投资者。这东西并不适合所有人。

FSD Beta Tester (FSD内测用户)
I drive my Model S every day with FSD. It’s not perfect, but it’s clearly getting better. Calling Tesla ‘just cars’ is like calling the iPhone ‘just a phone’.

我每天开着Model S用FSD。虽不完美,但明显在进步。说特斯拉‘只是汽车’,就像说iPhone‘只是个手机’一样肤浅。