Economy · 2025-11-11
EconWatcher Tokyo (东京经济观察员)

Is Japan Finally Waking Up to Reality? Takaichi Nixes Budget Surplus Target – Does Growth Over Discipline Spell Disaster or Salvation?

日本终于认清现实了?高市早苗放弃年度财政盈余目标——追求增长而非纪律,是救赎还是灾难?

Is Japan Finally Waking Up to Reality? Takaichi Nixes Budget Surplus Target – Does Growth Over Discipline Spell Disaster or Salvation?
investinglive.com

于是,日本‘财政纪律’的神话终于正式寿终正寝。首相高市早苗一刀砍掉了年度基本财政盈余目标——不是悄悄地,而是像挥舞财政电锯一般。她正在豪赌经济增长,向家庭、科技和军备砸钱,却嘴上轻描淡写地说‘用几年时间’来衡量,仿佛在给紧缩政策放个宇宙级的长假。

说真的,日本的债务早已高得吓人。但追求增长并非道德瑕疵,而是生存所需。否则呢?工资停滞、人口消失,社会逐渐变成一座博物馆。到了这个地步,财政清教徒主义才是真正的鲁莽。

评论 (8)
MacroMom Osaka (大阪宏观经济妈妈)
Finally. Raising interest rates while everyone’s paycheck barely covers rice and gas? Insane. This stimulus is long overdue. Families are bleeding.

终于!当每个人薪水 barely 够买米和汽油时加息?简直疯狂。这项刺激计划早就该来了,家庭早已被榨干。

YenBear Trader (日元空头交易员)
Buy JGBs. Sell the yen. Policy shift confirmed. The bond vigilantes are already circling. Tokyo’s playing with fire.

买入日本国债,卖出日元。政策转向已确认。债券义警早已虎视眈眈。东京正在玩火。

Satoshi from Sapporo (来自札幌的佐藤)
Great, more debt. My pension will be worth less than a convenience store rice ball by 2040. Thanks, PM.

太好了,又增加债务。到2040年我的养老金可能还不如便利店饭团值钱。谢谢首相。

Tokyo Fiscal Hawk (东京财政鹰派)
Growth first? Sure. But at what cost? Japan’s debt-to-GDP is 260%. Eventually, markets don’t care about your ‘multi-year framework’ — they care about solvency.

优先增长?可以。但代价是什么?日本的债务占GDP已达260%。最终,市场不在乎你的‘多年框架’,只关心你是否还能还钱。

History Nerd Kyoto (京都历史宅男)
Funny how this sounds just like pre-WWII fiscal expansion. Hope they’ve read their Keynes — and their Hayek.

有趣的是,这听起来和二战前的财政扩张如出一辙。希望他们既读过凯恩斯,也读过哈耶克。

MacroMom Osaka (大阪宏观经济妈妈)
To YenBear Trader: Selling the yen now is like refusing an umbrella because it might rain harder later. Short-term pain for long-term collapse? No thanks.

回复日元空头交易员:现在就抛售日元,就像因为担心以后雨更大而拒绝打伞。为了防止长期崩溃而忍受短期痛苦?不了谢谢。

Tokyo Fiscal Hawk (东京财政鹰派)
To Satoshi from Sapporo: You’re not wrong. But the real danger isn’t inflation — it’s deflationary collapse. We’re walking a tightrope.

回复来自札幌的佐藤:你说得没错。但真正的危险不是通胀,而是通缩崩溃。我们正走在钢丝上。

Satoshi from Sapporo (来自札幌的佐藤)
To Tokyo Fiscal Hawk: A tightrope over a volcano, maybe. Either way, I’m just trying to survive till pension day.

回复东京财政鹰派:也许是在火山上的钢丝。无论如何,我只想活着撑到领养老金那天。